邮箱:econometrics666@126.com所有计量经济圈方法论丛的code程序, 宏微观数据库和各种软件都放在社群里.欢迎到计量经济圈社群交流访问.接着“很遗憾, 该学术话题“群发失败”,别四处寻找了,以下是2010至2024年间TOP5刊上发表的关于retirement主题的论文汇总。
随着China延迟retirement政策的实施,我们有机会深入了解retirement对经济行为的影响,以及它可能带来的各种潜在效应。例如,通过断点回归设计(RDD)研究retirement如何影响消费、幸福感、健康和支出等方面。
在这个研究框架中,retirement政策(X变量)保持不变,而研究的焦点(Y变量)则可以多样化,这类似于将空气污染作为X变量,探索其对各种不同事物的潜在影响。
当然,这一突然的冲击也是一个绝好的实验,可以做DID。
“1.RDD断点回归, Stata程序百科全书式的宝典",“2.最强断点回归RDD方法资料主页!提供replication数据, 编写和注释完整的codes!”,“3.政策评估里的断点回归设计RDD是什么, 如何做?如何简单的理解?”,“4.复现经典RDD断点回归设计文献保姆级教程, 直接上手!” "5.她极度近视, 却凭该TOP5文掌控着关于RDD使用的话语权!"
接下来,我们绘制一幅展示G20国家24年间男性retirement年龄变化的柱状图。其他TOP经济学刊上关于Retirement话题的最新文章汇总如下:
1️⃣Rabaté, S., et al. (2024). "Increasing the Retirement Age: Policy Effects and Underlying Mechanisms." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 16(1): 259-291.
2️⃣Bi, H. and S. Zubairy (2023). "Public Pension Reforms and Retirement Decisions: Narrative Evidence and Aggregate Implications." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 15(4): 142-182.
3️⃣Clark, A. E. and R. Zhu (2024). "Taking Back Control? Quasi-Experimental Evidence on the Impact of Retirement on Locus of Control." The Economic Journal 134(660): 1465-1493. We use Australian panel data to examine the impact of retirement on individual locus of control, a socio-emotional skill with substantial explanatory power for a broad range of life outcomes. Exploiting the eligibility age for the Australian Age Pension, we find that retirement leads to increased internal locus of control. This greater internal control explains around one-third and one-fifth of the positive effects of retirement on health and subjective well-being, respectively. We also show that locus of control is much more malleable at retirement than the other socio-emotional skills of the Big-Five personality traits, risk and time preferences, and trust.
4️⃣Deshpande, M., et al. (2024). "How Sticky Is Retirement Behavior in the United States?" The Review of Economics and Statistics 106(2): 370-383.
We study how increases in the U.S. Social Security full retirement age (FRA) affect benefit-claiming behavior and retirement behavior separately. Using long panels of Social Security administrative data, we implement complementary research designs of a traditional cohort analysis and a regression-discontinuity design. We find that while claiming ages strongly and immediately shift in response to increases in the FRA, retirement ages exhibit persistent “stickiness” at the old FRA of 65. We use several strategies to explore the likely mechanisms behind the stickiness in retirement, and we find suggestive evidence that employers play a role in workers’ responses to the FRA.
5️⃣Fan, X., et al. (2023). "Estimation of a Life-Cycle Model with Human Capital, Labor Supply, and Retirement." Journal of Political Economy 132(1): 48-95.
We estimate a life-cycle model of consumption, human capital investment, and labor supply. The interaction between human capital and labor supply toward the end of the life cycle is most novel. The estimates replicate the main features of the data, in particular the large increase in wages and small increase in labor supply at the beginning of the life cycle and the small decrease in wages but large decrease in labor supply toward the end. We show that incorporating human capital is critical when analyzing changes to Social Security.
6️⃣French, E., et al. (2023). "Why Do Retired Households Draw Down Their Wealth So Slowly?" Journal of Economic Perspectives 37(4): 91-114.
García-Miralles, E. and J. M. Leganza (2024). "Joint retirement of couples: Evidence from discontinuities in Denmark." Journal of Public Economics 230: 105036. We study joint retirement and its underlying determinants. First, we use full-population data from Denmark and a discontinuity design to document joint retirement at the early pension eligibility age. For every 100 individuals who retire when they reach pension eligibility, around 8 of their spouses adjust their behavior to retire at the same time. Next, we investigate mechanisms. We begin by arguing that our estimates are explained primarily by leisure complementarities. We then explore heterogeneity and pathways couples take to retire together. We find that age differences are a fundamental determinant of joint retirement, which is driven by older spouses waiting to retire and claim pension benefits until their younger partners reach pension eligibility as well. We also show that females respond more than males and that secondary earners respond more than primary earners. Finally, we show that a reform increasing eligibility ages induced similar joint retirement spillovers.
7️⃣Hut, S. (2024). "Impact of Raising the Retirement Age on Firms." Journal of Human Resources: 0821-11820R11822. This paper studies the impact of raising the retirement age on firms. I rely on a policy change in the Netherlands that sharply increased the effective retirement age for workers born after 1950. For every additional retained older worker due to the reform, firms employ 0.6 fewer younger workers and reduce investments by 6,000 EUR annually. Adjustments are concentrated in low free cash flow firms, and only these firms experience declines in revenue and profitability. Lastly, I show that more time to respond to the policy implementation helps firms smooth adjustments and reduce negative profit effects.
8️⃣Mohnen, P. (2023). "The Impact of the Retirement Slowdown on the U.S. Youth Labor Market." Journal of Labor Economics. Olafsson, A. and M. Pagel (2024). "Retirement puzzles: New evidence from personal finances." Journal of Public Economics 234: 105103. Using comprehensive transaction-level panel data, we document that individuals repay their consumer debt and save more after they retire. These findings are puzzling because, in principle, people should save more before, rather than after, the expected decrease in income upon retirement. We discuss several potential explanations for our findings, including reductions in work-related expenses and increases in medical health risks around retirement, which are the leading explanations of the so-called retirement-consumption and retirement-savings puzzles. We thereby inform the larger question of whether individuals save enough for retirement.
9️⃣Pardo, O. (2023). "Mandatory retirement savings in the presence of an informal labor market." Journal of Population Economics 36(4): 2857-2888.
This paper shows how mandating workers to save more for retirement can lead them to work informally and save less. Consider a worker who is more productive in the formal sector but works informally to avoid mandatory retirement contributions. Lowering the contribution rate (the share of wages mandated to be saved) will paradoxically increase her retirement savings. The reason for this is that working informally acts as borrowing against mandatory savings. The implicit cost of such borrowing, and hence the opportunity cost of working informally, rises as the contribution rate drops. This creates a substitution effect favoring formal work, driving the worker towards the formal sector. As her formal income increases, the base for her mandatory contributions rises, expanding her retirement savings. Therefore, the optimal contribution rate is no greater than the highest contribution rate under which the worker prefers to work exclusively in the formal sector.
🔟Stuart, E. and V. L. Bryant (2024). "The impact of withdrawal penalties on retirement savings." Journal of Public Economics 232: 105083.
Tax-benefited retirement accounts have features designed to encourage saving, including a penalty for withdrawing before age 5912. Account holders also face a penalty for failing to take required minimum withdrawals after age 72. Using a bunching analysis, we estimate that these penalties cause over 17% of traditional IRA holders to change their withdrawal timing each year, shifting almost $60 billion of distributions annually. We estimate a dynamic life-cycle model to analyze the effect of changing these penalties. For both penalties, we find alternative combinations of age threshold and penalty rate that lead to increased average welfare and lifetime tax remittances.
⑪Tanaka, T., et al. (2024). "Barriers to Saving for Retirement: Evidence from a Public Pension Program in Mongolia." Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics.
⑫Teresa Ghilarducci, Andrew Samwick, Work, Retire, Repeat: The Uncertainty of Retirement in the New Economy , Journal of Economic Literature (Forthcoming)
⑬Melvin Stephens Jr. Desmond Toohey, Changes in Nutrient Intake at Retirement, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics (Forthcoming)
Prior research finds food expenditure decreases at retirement, which suggests households are inadequately saving. In contrast, other evidence shows that direct measures of food intake are unaffected by exiting the labor force. Using a wide array of data sources and methodologies, we find that food intake falls at retirement, including: declines in caloric and nutrient intake in cross-sectional datasets spanning forty years, a decrease in caloric intake using longitudinal data, and a drop in a food intake index that relates diet composition to permanent income. We discuss the implications of these results in the context of life-cycle models of consumption.可前往社群下载上述TOP5和其他TOP刊retirment全文PDF。关于断点回归设计RDD,可参看1.断点回归设计RDD分类与操作案例,2.RDD断点回归, Stata程序百科全书式的宝典,3.断点回归设计的前沿研究现状, RDD,4.断点回归设计什么鬼?且听哈佛客解析,5.断点回归和读者的提问解答,6.断点回归设计RDD全面讲解, 教育领域用者众多,7.没有工具变量、断点和随机冲击,也可以推断归因,8.找不到IV, RD和DID该怎么办? 这有一种备选方法,9.2卷RDD断点回归使用手册, 含Stata和R软件操作流程,10.DID, 合成控制, 匹配, RDD四种方法比较, 适用范围和特征,11.安神+克拉克奖得主的RDD论文, 断点回归设计,12.伊斯兰政府到底对妇女友不友好?RDD经典文献,13.PSM,RDD,Heckman,Panel模型的操作程序,14.RDD经典文献, RDD模型有效性稳健性检验,15.2019年发表在JDE上的有趣文章, 计量方法最新趋势,16.关于(模糊)断点回归设计的100篇精选Articles专辑!17.断点回归设计RDD精辟解释, 保证你一辈子都忘不了,18.“RDD女王”获2020年小诺奖!她的RD数据, 程序, GIS和博士论文可下载!关于她学术研究过程的最全采访!19.中国博导要求掌握的RDD方法实证运用范文(配程序code), 不然就不要用RDD做实证研究!20.最近70篇关于中国环境生态的经济学papers合辑!21.事件研究法用于DID的经典文献"环境规制"论文数据和程序,22.环境, 能源和资源经济学手册推荐, 经典著作需要反复咀嚼,23.中文刊上用断点回归RDD和合成控制法SCM的实证文章有哪些?不看至少需要收藏一下!24.上双一流大学能多赚多少钱? 学习断点回归RDD, 机制分析的经典文章!25.JPE上利用地理断点RDD和IV研究中国环境议题的do文件release!26.学习经济学会让你富有吗? 基于大学专业回报的断点回归分析,27.政策评估里的断点回归设计RDD是什么, 如何做?如何简单的理解?28.AER上用断点回归设计的经典文章有哪些?给出了具体的程序和code,29.AER: 严刑竣法真的可以减少犯罪吗? 断点回归设计RDD的经典!30.断点回归设计RDD的原理和实证指南, 年龄, 地理, 分数等断点应有尽有,31.最强断点回归RDD方法资料主页!提供replication数据, 编写和注释完整的codes!32.前沿: 农业与环境经济学中断点回归设计RDD万字综述与最新进展!
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